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Report: almost 4 million bitcoins can be lost forever

By now, up to 3.79 million bitcoins can be irretrievably lost. This is evidenced by the results of a study of the market specializing in the crypto currency of the analytical company Chainalysis, reports Fortune .

According to this data, by the time all 21 million coins are mined, the actual number of BTCs in the market will be much less. So, today it is not very clear where are from 2.78 million to 3.79 million bitcoins - from 17% of 23% of the total, respectively.

In the course of the study, Chainalysis specialists used a detailed empirical analysis of bitcoin blockade. The results were obtained after the division of already issued coins into several categories - depending on the age and activity of the transactions. In some segments, the company used a statistical sample to determine the amount lost.

In the category "Extracted coins" were all the bitcoins released in 2017 (it is assumed that among them there are no lost ones). "Transactional" - those that were spent or sent over the past year: among them, losses amounted to about 2%. The same number is in the group "Strategic investors" (individuals and companies that hold bitcoins for 1-2 years).

Much higher percentage of lost bitcoins in the group "Out of Turn" - among those who keep the currency from 2 to 7 years. So, from 30% to 50% of such "ancient" coins created at the dawn of the BTC, can be considered lost today. Note, in this case, do not take into account the theft or hacking of wallets, because in this case, the koins are not "lost", but simply pass into other hands.

In addition, they can add about one million coins belonging to the creator of bitcoin under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto: he did not go out with anyone since 2011, so nothing is known about the fate of these coins. In this regard, many fear that someday the market may happen unforeseen shocks, if such an amount of BTC suddenly "pops up".

Note that Chainalysis clients include organizations such as the US Internal Revenue Service and Europol. Using the company's data, law enforcement agencies are trying to obtain detailed information about who owns the currency and how it moves. For example, a blocking start-up has located the disappeared bitcoins of MtGox .

Recall, on the eve of the price bitcoin overcame the mark of $ 9000 . Thus, the amount of permanently lost funds today can be about $ 23 billion or more.